![]() And even the most modest success questions the need for SLS. Yet, full reusability is not the only level of success that Starship can achieve. If its payload to LEO is moderately below 100 metric tons then this affects how many propellant tanker launches will be needed to go beyond LEO. SpaceX may get Starship to orbit, but after bulking up with a heat shield and carrying that landing burn propellant, how much payload will it be able to get to orbit? It is a rather important question. Just because SpaceX intends to produce a fully and rapidly reusable SHLV doesn’t mean its success is inevitable. It is at the level of any of the great moments of exploration and settlement. Starship will cause a turning point for humanity as we begin spreading beyond Earth. As noteworthy as the first woman and the first person of color on the Moon is, the real historic prize to be seized is the establishment of humanity’s first foothold off Earth. It’s hard to catch a target that is both ahead of you and accelerating away.īut there is an important historic significance to Starship as well. And those companies or countries that seek to develop fully reusable rockets are years behind SpaceX and will find that SpaceX will have moved well forward by the time their competitors achieve full reusability. Who could compete with that? All the existing expendable rockets worldwide simply won’t be able to compete with Starship. Take, for example, SpaceX’s plan to place 400 Starlink satellites into orbit per launch in which most of the cost is only propellant. A fully and rapidly reusable SHLV questions the competitiveness of almost all other rockets. SpaceX is completely rewriting the book when it comes to rockets. It would seem that SpaceX can weather things even if the Starship development path going forward is challenging. There’s always the next prototype nearing completion. Even the existing production system can crank out more vehicles in a month or two, assuring no long delays in the test program due to setbacks. When a Starship crashes during development, no serious person questions whether SpaceX can continue. Long gone are the days when SpaceX struggled to ensure its own financial survival. If Starlink pans out as intended, SpaceX anticipates having annual revenue equal to the entire budget of NASA. Not only is Elon Musk often among wealthiest people in the world, but SpaceX is also able to raise very large amounts of funding for Starship development. It is at the level of any of the great moments of exploration and settlement.īut SpaceX is even positioned to have sufficient funding independent from NASA. ![]() NASA’s $2.9 billion contract with NASA has recently been confirmed. It seems that SpaceX is in a position to where it has the financial capability to see Starship development through to completion. ![]() SpaceX is not only developing the largest and most powerful rocket in history, but they are developing the factory that will crank them out by the hundreds. It is unclear exactly when the first orbital launch of Starship will be, but it is certainly sooner rather than later. The Starship upper stage was temporarily placed on top of the booster for a fit test. The Super Heavy booster intended for launch has been constructed and its engines mounted. Company personnel are working aggressively to get an orbital Starship ready. SpaceX is making major progress in Boca Chica, Texas. Given the likelihood that a reusable, very cost-effective, super-heavy-lift vehicle (SHLV) with a high flight rate will become available for the nation to use, we call upon the decision makers in Washington (i.e., the administration, Congress, and NASA) to place Starship at the center of the country’s human spaceflight program after it achieves orbit. When Starship reaches orbit, it will fundamentally bring into question which path forward the United States should take. Starship represents a turning point in human history because it will be the vehicle upon which humans start spreading beyond Earth.
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